Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.207783 1.366228 1.539774 1.744315 1.979235 2.241113 2.555870
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.975428 1.191216 1.448284 1.778622 2.194024 2.701906 3.374207
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.826298 1.060600 1.355500 1.756830 2.293237 2.991710 3.980280
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.735326 0.982912 1.308880 1.774057 2.428303 3.326764 4.673206
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.652012 0.901645 1.242980 1.750085 2.495046 3.566098 5.253160
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.588799 0.839044 1.192900 1.737861 2.570456 3.818381 5.875807
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.518783 0.758460 1.107258 1.661346 2.537183 3.898533 6.234987
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.486535 0.729635 1.093685 1.690237 2.666076 4.239823 7.054027
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.459677 0.705893 1.084608 1.723573 2.803229 4.606589 7.960938
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.431716 0.677510 1.064986 1.736601 2.906113 4.924672 8.821107
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.405937 0.650111 1.043996 1.744272 2.998930 5.233072 9.701570
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.387466 0.632917 1.037868 1.775979 3.136113 5.634178 10.810924
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.358289 0.595930 0.996158 1.742585 3.154259 5.822657 11.538996
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.344323 0.583902 0.996424 1.785064 3.319204 6.311473 12.959389
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.321636 0.554636 0.963599 1.762457 3.355234 6.548669 13.875771
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.306944 0.538385 0.952624 1.779812 3.471348 6.960656 15.239043
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.287867 0.512631 0.921996 1.755748 3.499976 7.191710 16.221001
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.272001 0.491618 0.898506 1.743480 3.551435 7.477035 17.374646
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.249546 0.456586 0.845636 1.666693 3.456703 7.427189 17.696914
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.241385 0.448320 0.843971 1.695687 3.596002 7.924210 19.481352
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.234235 0.441467 0.844478 1.729141 3.748628 8.470739 21.487118
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.225368 0.430565 0.835966 1.742216 3.855709 8.921174 23.310021
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.216549 0.419136 0.825489 1.749914 3.950824 9.353721 25.157849